Are United States and NATO failing in Afghanistan?
The NY Times reported on Sunday, December 16, 2007,
Deeply concerned about the prospect of failure in Afghanistan, the Bush administration and NATO have begun three top-to-bottom reviews of the entire mission, from security and counterterrorism to political consolidation and economic development.
IDEA-ing of the relevant Open-Ended Issues gives the following Properties Table:
| KGI Afghanistan | Desirability | Importance | Volatility | Probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The war in Afghanistan against the Taliban can be won by the United States / NATO | XX-High | X-High | X-High | Low | Medium |
| The NATO campaign to whittle down Taliban’s guerrilla units in Afghanistan will last for years | Low | HIGH | High | High | High |
| The Afghan army won’t be able to manage security till 2015 | X-Low | Medium | High | High | High |