Integral Dynamics

December 16, 2007

Bolivia regions declare autonomy

Filed under: Uncategorized, United States, Bolivia, Evo Morales, Politics, Civil War — admin @ 3:49 am

Sunday, 16 December 2007 — In Bolivia, three provinces have declared autonomy, protesting against constitutional reforms agreed by the government of President Evo Morales.

Another region, Tarija, is expected to follow suit.

IDEA-ing of Open-Ended Issues gives the following Properties Table:

KGI Bolivia Desirability Importance Volatility Probability Confidence
Civil War in Bolivia  XX-Low  High  X-High  Medium  High
Four of Bolivia’s provinces create greater autonomy from the central government  Low  Medium  X-High  X-High  XX-High
United States is contributing to worsening security in Bolivia  X-Low  Medium  Low  High  Medium
 

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