Integral Dynamics

December 17, 2007

Palestine a viable state and at peace with Israel? — update1

Ninety international delegations from Israel, Palestine, United States, European Union, Russia, Britain, Germany, France, Norway, Sweden, Saudi Arabia, United Nations, and other world’s powers are attending the one-day Conference of Donors for a Palestinian State in Paris to mobilize political support and to agree on an aid package worth billions of dollars to stabilise the Palestinian economy and give political impetus to the newly relaunched peace process with Israel.

Global donors pledge 7.4 bln US dollars for Palestinians.

Estimated Assessment

IDEA-ing of Open-Ended Issues gives the following Properties Table:

KGI Palestine  Desirability   Importance   Volatility   Probability   Confidence 
Palestine is a viable Nation-State Desirable High High Medium High
Palestine’s economy is healthy Desirable High Medium Low High
Palestine is secure Desirable High Medium Low High
 
KGI Palestine -Israel  Desirability   Importance   Volatility   Probability   Confidence 
Israel and Palestine have peace Desirable High High Medium High

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