Emigration from the UK
In the Daily Express of 2007-08-05 I read the article titled,
in which it was stated that,
BRITAIN is facing a mass exodus of people looking to escape the crime and grime of modern living.
And many cite their reason for wanting to quit as immigration to these shores – and the burden it is placing on their communities and local authorities. The dearth of good schools, spiralling house prices, rising crime and tax increases are also driving people away.
Based on this article I have developed a first pre-concept draft of a Causal Loop Diagram (CLD, see at the end of the article) to get a beter view of the integral dynamics. I will improve the model based on feedback and other stories regarding emigration and immigration.
Based on the CLD I developed the following Open-Ended Issues Table with my Integral Dynamics Estimated Assessments of the factors in the CLD.
| Open-Ended Issue | Remote | Unlikely | Even Chance |
Probably, Likely |
Almost certainly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime rising | |||||
| Education quality decreases | |||||
| Emigration will rise | |||||
| Housing, affordable quality decreases | |||||
| Immigration will rise | |||||
| Local government services become overstretched | |||||
| Population number is rising | |||||
| Tax increases | |||||
| Open-Ended Issue | Remote | Unlikely | Even Chance |
Probably, Likely |
Almost certainly |
Looking at the OEI-Table it is quit clear that this is certainly a complex of Open-Ended Issues in need of a Policy Claim. But that’s for a later moment.
