Integral Dynamics

August 27, 2007

IDEA - Draft Report Logs Bleak Outlook for Iran

Guardin featured an AP story, Draft Report Logs Bleak Outlook for Iran (link).

A change in the Tehran regime appears unlikely any time soon despite growing public anger over the country’s economic woes. — draft report National Intelligence Estimate on Iran

IDEA of Open-Ended Issues

Based on the above I see the following impact on OEIs

  • Iran’s economy is healthy, the indicators change from green, even change to green, unlikely.
  • Iran has a stable regime, no change, the indicators stay at: yellow, probably, likely.

This gives the following Key Global Issues Monitor.

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