Integral Dynamics

March 1, 2008

Day of Reckoning — Pat Buchanan

Filed under: Uncategorized, George Bush, Afghanistan, Iraq, United States, Russia, China, Human Rights, immigration, Demography, Integral, Integral Dynamics, Japan, Politics, NATO, Canada, Democracy, Islam, NeoCons, Pat Buchanan, Religion, South Korea, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Taiwan — admin @ 2:32 pm

Book Overview

Day of Reckoning — Pat Buchanan

Zanshin Post, 2008-03-01 (Saturday)

DAY OF RECKONING; How Hubris, Ideology, and Greed Are Tearing America Apart; by Patrick J. Buchanan, 294 pp. Thomas Dunne Books/St. Martin’s Press.
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December 16, 2007

Are United States and NATO failing in Afghanistan?

Filed under: Afghanistan, United States, Al Qaeda, NATO — admin @ 1:10 pm

The NY Times reported on Sunday, December 16, 2007,

Deeply concerned about the prospect of failure in Afghanistan, the Bush administration and NATO have begun three top-to-bottom reviews of the entire mission, from security and counterterrorism to political consolidation and economic development.

Estimated Assessment

IDEA-ing of the relevant Open-Ended Issues gives the following Properties Table:

KGI Afghanistan	Desirability	Importance	Volatility	Probability	Confidence
The war in Afghanistan against the Taliban can be won by the United States / NATO	XX-High	X-High	X-High	Low	Medium
The NATO campaign to whittle down Taliban’s guerrilla units in Afghanistan will last for years	Low	HIGH	High	High	High
The Afghan army won’t be able to manage security till 2015	X-Low	Medium	High	High	High

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