IDEA - U.S. Weighing Terrorist Label for Iran Guards
NY Times reported, U.S. Weighing Terrorist Label for Iran Guards (link).
The relevant statement,
Bush administration is preparing to declare that Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps is a foreign terrorist organization, senior administration officials said Tuesday.
IDEA of Impact on Open-Ended Isues
| United States will act diplomatically with Iran | Remote | Unlikely | Even Chance |
Probably, Likely |
Almost certainly |
| New Estimated Assessment | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ |
| Old | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ |
+++
| United States will act military against Iran | Remote | Unlikely | Even Chance |
Probably, Likely |
Almost certainly |
| New Estimated Assessment | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ |
| Old | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ |
+++
| United Nations Security Council will approve a new round of sanctions against Iran | Remote | Unlikely | Even Chance |
Probably, Likely |
Almost certainly |
| New Estimated Assessment | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ |
| Old | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ |
This gives the following Key Global Issues Monitor.